Among the many professional bodies and industry said in 2009 the development of the domestic logistics market is expected to decrease when the supply chain information from Brocade Research Center on "logistics industry restructuring and revitalization plan," Effects of research reports that the second quarter of 2009, the logistics demand coefficient is 3.0, higher than the industry had expected that less than 3.0.

Ups and downs of a group of data

First review since 2007, the logistics needs of the social factor.

In 2007, the total outlay for the National Social logistics 4.5406 trillion yuan, an increase of 18.2 percent, an increase of more than 4.7 percentage points from 2006. Rising oil prices, labor costs and other factors, social and GDP, the total logistics expense ratio from 18.3% in 2006 improved to 18.4%, up 0.1 percentage points. 2007 national total of 75.2283 trillion yuan of social logistics, an increase of 26.2%, an increase over the 2.2 percent advance in 2006. In 2007, the national logistics added value of 1.6981 trillion yuan, an increase of 20.3%, an increase over 2006 by 5.2 percentage points, accounting for 17.6% of the value of services growth, rising more than 0.5 percentage points in 2006, accounting for 6.9% of GDP more than 0.2 percentage points in 2006, the logistics industry development services and further increase the economic contribution of citizens.

First quarter of 2008, the national total of 19.3 trillion yuan of social logistics, plan at current prices, up 24.2% over the previous year, an increase of 0.4 percentage points to speed up, but net of price, calculated by the weighted price over the same period in 2007 increased 16.9% growth rate down 2.9 percentage points. Logistics added value completed 422.6 billion yuan, according to current price plan, more than 07-year increase of 15.7%, down 1 percentage point increase; by calculating the weighted price increase of 14% growth over the same period the value of GDP and services growth rates of 3.4 and faster 3.1 percentage points. Logistics industry accounts for the same period the proportion of GDP was 6.9%, down 0.2 percentage points, accounting for the same period the proportion of value added services was 16.3%, down 0.3 percentage points.

According to the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, the latest statistics, in 2009 a quarter of the total social logistics of 18.7 trillion yuan, down 3.3%, is the first time in nearly 5 years of negative growth. Logistics added value completed 442.2 billion yuan, up 1.2% over the previous year, an increase of 14.4 percentage points down year on year. Logistics costs and the GDP ratio of 18.2% over the same period last year, down 0.1 percentage points.

Brocade IT Logistics Supply Chain Research Center Wang Yizhong introduced statistical data on the logistics industry has a variety of dimensions, the current logistics needs of the industry coefficients are usually simplified statistical standards, monthly, quarterly or annual basis, total logistics and Gross domestic product, compared to the coefficient, is the logistics demand coefficient. Such as logistics to GDP compared to the total logistics needs of coefficient of 3.2, that is, GDP per unit of output of 3.2 units of the logistics required to support the total.

The second quarter of 2009, the domestic logistics market rebound

Coefficient of logistics demand in China has been rising, "Eighth Five-Year" period averaged 1.6, "Ninth Five-Year" period averaged 1.7, "fifth" year period averaged 2.2,2006 2.8,2007 3.2,2008 years to 3.0 years , as China's industrialization, urbanization, international, market-oriented process to speed up the development of modern logistics development for increasing the level of attachment.

China Institute of Logistics and the logistics of the total composition of the national social analysis, in 2009, the total logistics units and residents drop items larger retail chains face situation is not optimistic; agricultural products continued to increase the total logistics and the growth has accelerated, the logistics will be the logistics of agricultural products One of the major services; including chemicals, steel, nonferrous metals industries, including industrial raw materials in high-priced inventory and low sales price appears under the dual challenges of comprehensive loss, affecting the growth of total reduction in industrial logistics.

Brocade IT Logistics Supply Chain Research Center found that the first quarter of 2009, the logistics demand coefficient is 2.7, lower than the coefficient since the same period of 2006; the second quarter rose to 3.0 coefficient of logistics demand, and the coefficient of the year 2008 was flat, high than market expectations.

Kang Shen, president of Brocade IT logistics demand will rebound coefficient attributed to the March 2009 national introduction of the "logistics industry restructuring and revitalization plan," the stimulus of the second quarter of 2009, statistics show that in terms of logistics outsourcing, manufacturers and retailers are interested in the logistics outsourcing on the rise, "planning" was announced, even if the external economic indicators in a serious recession is indeed in the logistics market, "plan" to achieve a growth stimulus.